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Saturday, August 01, 2026

Opinion | What Happens to America’s Political Parties After Trump? - The New York Times

What Happens to America’s Political Parties After Trump?


"Democrats have an anger problem. Republicans have a Trump problem.

What have Democrats learned from this season of primaries so far? “Their voters are so much angrier than I think they realized,” says the Opinion columnist Jamelle Bouie in this week’s politics round table. He joins the Opinion contributors E.J. Dionne Jr. and Robert Siegel to discuss what the primaries portend for the 2026 midterms and beyond.

What Happens to America’s Political Parties After Trump?

Democrats have an anger problem. Republicans have a Trump problem.

Below is a transcript of an episode of “The Opinions.” We recommend listening to it in its original form for the full effect. You can do so using the player above or on the NYTimes app, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, YouTube, iHeartRadio or wherever you get your podcasts.

The transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Robert Siegel: Hi, I’m Robert Siegel, and this is a conversation about politics with New York Times Opinion contributor and regular panelist here E.J. Dionne Jr.

E.J. Dionne Jr.: Great to see you, Robert.

Siegel: Welcome back. Good to see you. And joining us for the first time, Times Opinion columnist Jamelle Bouie. Hi, welcome.

Jamelle Bouie: Hello there.

Siegel: Good to see you.

Dionne: Joy to be with you.

Bouie: Yeah, looking forward to it.

Siegel: We’re coming to the end of a season of primaries, and I want to start by asking you what we’ve learned, in this season, about this country, particularly about the Democratic primaries. Jamelle, what do we know about ourselves today that, perhaps, wasn’t so clear a few months ago?

Bouie: I think for some of us, who are professional political observers, what has happened is clear. But maybe for establishment Democrats, they have learned something, which is that their voters are so much angrier than I think they realized. And so angry, in fact, that seemingly the currency for success in primaries is just whether you can credibly present yourself to be a full-blown opponent of Donald Trump and willing to reflect back — at those voters — the level of anger and discontent that they feel.

When I look at the relative success of progressive candidates, and the defeats of more moderate or centrist candidates, I actually don’t see a big ideological battle as much as I see a big battle about affect and attitude, and one’s orientation toward the administration and willingness to say “fight.”

And what’s interesting to me is that because this is so much of a fight-or-not-fight divide, it’s entirely possible to have moderate or establishment Democrats who can embody that, and they haven’t. And that, to me, really speaks to maybe a Democratic establishment class that’s a bit out of touch with where their voters are, and maybe where a large part of the country is, given the president’s sinking approval ratings.

Siegel: Maybe a little old, too.

Bouie: Right, right.

Siegel: Could be part of the problem. E.J., we have a big Democratic primary coming up next week in Michigan. It’s one of those seats we say is a must win for the Democrats, if they are to win a majority in the Senate. I wonder what you see as being significant about the Michigan primary.

Dionne: Yeah, I want to put Michigan in the context that Jamelle just put on the table, where I agree that a lot of this expression is more — or at least as much — about anger as it is about ideology.

And I recently wrote about how I think this debate between capitalism and socialism is a really stupid debate for Democrats to engage in, partly because neither side is really a pure capitalist or a socialist, if such a thing even exists, and because it’s about a lot of other things. I would say, though, that there were an awful lot of candidates out there — Roy Cooper in North Carolina, Mary Peltola, Sherrod Brown, James Talarico — all these folks, I think, embodied enough anger to sort of be fairly middle-of-the-road progressives and still win the nomination.

What I think is interesting about Michigan is the placement of this primary. If Democrats could redo this calendar, boy, would they not want to have perhaps the most divisive primary in the whole country happen this late in the process? Because I think what we’re looking at is two things in parallel: a lot of summer noise about Democratic division, which Michigan is going to bring home, and the fundamentals of the election continuing to move away from the Republicans.

I was really struck by a CNN poll this week that showed Trump’s approval down to 34 percent — as low as it was around the time of Jan. 6 in 2021. Seventy-three percent of U.S. adults said President Trump has not paid enough attention to the country’s most important problems. Seventy-three percent. That’s astonishing. And if the election is about the president, his policies and his party, as midterms usually are, this is a real nightmare for Republicans. Which is why their core campaign theme is going to be: Well, we may be terrible, but they’re worse.

And Michigan is the example, if there is any out there, of real ideological division, because you have Abdul El-Sayed, who is probably the better candidate of the two — in terms of performance in reaching audiences and the like, and a clear progressive with a very strongly anti-Israel or pro-Palestinian view — against Haley Stevens, who is a moderate, unapologetically moderate Democrat, supported by American Israel Public Affairs Committee — AIPAC — and that has been a real source of division in the party, and they are battling it out.

At the moment, it looks like El-Sayed is ahead in most of the polls; but then, on the electability front, there was one poll this week that showed Stevens beating the Republican who will be running against one of them, Mike Rogers, by a point, and El-Sayed losing by 10. We’ll see if that has any impact. And she’s trying to turn the fact that El-Sayed may be the most forceful and articulate into a kind of asset, basically saying: “Look, I sound like you. I’m not a fancy candidate, but I have done a lot of practical work.”

But however this turns out, I think the bitterness left by this primary creates problems for either of them if they win this primary.

Siegel: Jamelle, does the El-Sayed-Stevens matchup fit the paradigm of a demand for performative anger in the campaign?

Bouie: I think it does. I want to be clear that I don’t think performance here is a bad thing. I think part of politics is performing things, right?

Like showing people, in a public way, that you understand their concerns and understand their anger or whatever the emotion might be. And I think that when I’m looking at how Democrats have maybe fallen short according to their own voters, it’s been this sense that, “Oh, our job isn’t to perform. Our job is just to be workhorses, not show horses.” And this is something that I think a lot of Democrats take pride in. But to my mind, it’s political malpractice, right? You actually do have to be a show horse as well. You have to show what you’re doing. You have to perform what you’re doing.

I think that the divide on Israel is really critical in this primary. Although, as far as how divisive it is — I mean, the thing is that, when you look at public opinion polling of Democratic voters on their views of Israel, they’ve become starkly negative, right?

Most Democratic voters have much more sympathy toward Palestinians these days than they do toward the Israeli government. And this has been a sea change in opinion. So the Michigan primary might be divisive along this axis, maybe, but El-Sayed also represents where Democratic voters are going, right? Looking ahead to the 2028 presidential primary, I would be surprised if there are any candidates that sound like Stevens, that are willing to accept AIPAC money or any of that. That seems like a death knell for a Democrat.

Siegel: Yeah, let’s talk more about Israel, the Democratic Party and American Jews. Stevens — her campaign has got, I think, $30 million from AIPAC and AIPAC affiliates. And this is something that her opponent, El-Sayed, has used against her.

And, as you say, he seems to have the trend within the Democratic Party on his side. Does this mean that a unique relationship between American Jews and the Democratic Party, where you actually have a prosperous, white group of the public that votes 70 percent-plus for Democratic candidates — is their relationship with the Democratic Party conceivably on the rocks?

Bouie: I mean, you don’t see it in polling. If it’s happening, you don’t really see it yet. I would say that one has to consider as well that many American Jews also hold complicated feelings about Israel ——

Siegel: Yes, mixed feelings, yes.

Bouie: And mixed feelings about the Benjamin Netanyahu government. And so, to the extent that the larger Democratic Party turn against Israel is very much about Gaza — is very much about Israel’s conduct and not so much about Jewishness, but really about the conduct of this particular government — then I don’t imagine there’ll be that much change in terms of the relationship between American Jews and the Democratic Party.

Siegel: What do you think, E.J.?

Dionne: I think, first of all, that one of the difficulties for Democrats here is that, say, through Barack Obama, even the Hillary Clinton election, Jews and Muslims both voted overwhelmingly Democratic. American Jews, American Muslims — two-thirds or more — Democratic. And this has pitted, particularly in Michigan, where there is a large Muslim American population ——

Siegel: And a very large Arab American population.

Dionne: Arab American population. This has pitted two constituencies inside the Democratic Party, in a way, against each other. But I want to underscore something Jamelle said, which is that opinion on Israel, especially since Gaza, and even going back to the whole Netanyahu period, among American Jews, has gone very negative among more progressive Jews.

So there are roots to this. And A.P.-NORC had a fascinating poll: Forty-three percent of Jewish adults, including 58 percent of Jewish Democrats, say the U.S. is not giving Palestinians enough support. And one of the most fascinating findings: Forty-four percent of American Jews held a favorable view of Zohran Mamdani. Just 32 percent held a favorable view of Bibi Netanyahu.

So there’s something going on here that is true within the progressive parts of the American Jewish community; even though, I think, there are times when American Jews feel that some of this opposition is expressed in terms that start to barrel into antisemitism. So I get that reaction, but I think a lot of it is about the reality on the ground right now, and a feeling about this Israeli government and its policies.

Siegel: I wanted to return to the bigger view for a moment. When we look at what’s happened in the primaries around the country, and we see people like El-Sayed in Michigan — how many progressives like him do we think there are going to be in the next Congress? Are we talking about five more seats? Twenty more seats? Is it going to be a — if the Democrats have a decent year — big block or a few safe Democratic seats that have been won by a progressive?

Dionne: You know, I went back and did some searching around on this question. As best I can tell, there may be seven, possibly another one or two Democratic Socialists of America in the Congress. We talked a lot about D.S.A. They certainly won some important victories in the New York primaries; but still, their number is going to be around seven. So that’s something, and they can have a voice, but Democrats, if they win — let’s say, a small victory — they have 225 seats. Where are the rest of them going to be? Right now, there are 100 members of the Progressive Caucus. There are actually, last I checked, 116 members of the New Democratic Coalition, which is this more centrist group. If the Democrats gain seats, my hunch is they’re probably more likely to gain seats in districts where more moderate candidates will prevail, because the party will have nominated — in general, not everywhere — more moderate candidates in those seats.

So paradoxically, despite some of the gains D.S.A. will make, and despite all the talk about how the Democratic Party is moving left, you may have a mix in that conference, which is ever so slightly more moderate than it is today.

Bouie: And to that I would add, this is where I think it’s really important to not get so bogged down on the ideological debates ——

Dionne: Yes. Amen.

Bouie: Because besides policy differences, I think what’s really going to have an effect is, if there is a big victory, people are going to be paying attention to how Democrats — not what they did to win in terms of campaign strategy, but their general approach, right?

And so, you look at someone like Jon Ossoff in Georgia, who is likely to win a nice, comfortable re-election victory — and he’s running this very explicitly anti-corruption campaign. Talarico in Texas is also running on this anti-corruption line, also taking this, like, “they ought to be ashamed of themselves” kind of approach.

I think you’re going to see Democrats observe all of this. Like, how are these successful candidates speaking? How are they orienting themselves toward both other Democrats and toward Republicans? And that’s where the influence is going to show, right? That’s where, I think, you’re going to see the effect of the elections. Not so much on ideology, because, again, Trump will still be president, right?

So it’s not like anything’s getting done. But what will be viable are investigations, hearings or these sorts of things. And so, how are Democrats going to be approaching those questions? And if it’s a narrow victory, it might be a much more, you know: “The public barely wanted us here. We should cool our horses.” If it’s a big victory, it may be a much more aggressive, “Oh, they really want us to go after these people. Who is doing that, and who can I emulate?”

Dionne: Right. And I think the corruption issue — first of all, the polling shows it’s actually starting to grab some voters. One survey by Echelon Insights, 8 percent said that corruption was the most important issue in politics, back at the end of 2024. It’s up to 17 percent now. So this is starting to take hold among a lot of people. And I think the way corruption builds into policy is in two ways: One is, obviously Trump is looking out for his own interests, and the interests of the very wealthy, and not yours. And that has a lot of implications, where Democrats of a lot of different stripes can play with that to push policies that are more egalitarian. But it also creates the sense of a kind of kleptocratic country that is in danger of becoming more like Russia. Now, fortunately, we still have free elections and a lot of other good things that have not — we hope — are not destroyed, and — hope underlined several times — are not destroyed in this election. But this sense of the linkage between unfairness and a corrupt government, I think, has a lot of political potential going forward.

Bouie: That’s exactly right.

Siegel: We talk so much about the divisions within the Democratic Party that we overlook the not entirely harmonious Republican Party. When you look at the Republican Party, E.J., is the whole idea of MAGA and non-MAGA finished? It’s just a subsidiary of MAGA?

Dionne: You know, I think there are a couple things here: One is, the people who think of themselves as Republican now are not the same people entirely who thought of themselves as Republicans a decade ago. Trump has pushed a bunch of people out of the Republican Party.

And Jamelle alluded to this in his Times chat last week, that Gallup shows that 30 percent of Americans called themselves Republicans in 2024, and their latest average, for this quarter of 2026, it’s down to 25 percent. So you’ve got a Republican Party that, if you don’t like Trump, you are less likely to call yourself Republican than you used to.

And I think that explains a lot of these primaries we’ve seen. It explains why Trump’s approval rating among Republicans, even as it’s cratering among independents, it’s not cratering among Republicans. The question is, is MAGA sustainable without Trump himself? And it seems to me that he has particular gifts — if I may use that term about Donald Trump — in terms of appealing to people, certain habits of forcing people in his direction, intimidating Republicans in Congress, that I don’t see either JD Vance or Marco Rubio have. The other thing is, we tend to talk a lot about how the extreme left is given to sectarianism — you know, the Socialist Vanguard Workers Party splitting off from the Socialist Workers Party — and Janan Ganesh, a columnist for The Financial Times, made a great point:

You’re seeing this splitting on the far right. In Europe, you’re seeing it in Italy, where there’s a split. Now there are two parties on the far right. In Britain, where there’s a split, where the Reform Party is not the only far-right party, there’s a new one. You’re seeing it in Poland, where the formerly ruling Law and Justice Party just split last week.

So that, I think, on that level — absent Trump’s both iron hand and peculiar charisma — it’s not clear where this goes. And I guess the question is: Is there such frustration with Trump, at the end of his term, if it stays on the current trajectory, and will there be some Republicans who come along and say to the party, “You don’t want Rubio, you don’t want Vance, you want something different”? And that’s the only possibility I see of recreating anything that looks like the old Republican Party.

Bouie: Yeah, even in that situation, I’m not entirely certain if there is — in just a single cycle — the ability to recreate the old Republican Party. And certainly — I very much agree with you, E.J. — that people understate the importance of Trump’s celebrity charisma. The thing that has delivered him victories, or near-victories, in presidential elections is that he can turn out loosely attached voters, people who otherwise would not be voting, and, critically in some cases, don’t even vote down ballot. They just vote for Trump. And in doing so, they’ve delivered him these very narrow victories.

And I tie that explicitly to the fact that he’s a celebrity, first and foremost, to many, many Americans. They don’t register or read him as a Republican, which does two things: first, it’s hard to convince voters that he’ll do things that Republicans do that they don’t like, right? You can say, he’s going to cut taxes for rich people. He may have already done it, but precisely because he’s not associated with the Republican Party in this sort of intimate way, a lot of voters say, “Oh, well, you know, is he really? He signed the checks. Is he really going to be that bad?” So I think there’s no other Republican politician who had this decades-long pre-political career, where they essentially became a byword for wealth, right?

Trump was associated with wealth in pop culture. That doesn’t exist for anyone else, and I’m very skeptical that any of the people who seem to be presidential contenders have the ability to reconstitute, or pull together, anything like the Trump coalition. And the other thing is that, if you think of the Trump presidency as being this sort of like — I mean, there are three legs in the stool, but they’re awkwardly placed together, like a 2-year-old might do — kind of MAGA populist neocons, people who want an aggressive foreign policy, and then Christian nationalists, for lack of a better term. They’re able to come under Trump, because fundamentally, Trump just doesn’t care that much. Trump is in it for Trump, and this allows these other parts of the coalition to be under him as sort of a, “Well, he’ll do what we want him to do,” because he just wants to be able to make some money and stay out of jail.

Any Republican president, or Republican candidate, who comes after Trump is going to have a particular ideological vision they want to pursue. And will that have room for these other, more discordant elements?

Siegel: I’m really struck by the fact that in his exploration of the limits of presidential power, Donald Trump has imposed a tremendous number of tariffs — a policy that seems to have almost no constituency. If there is one, I don’t know who it is. Who argues in favor of tariffs?

Bouie: There have been plenty of people trying to manufacture, backfill some kind of rationale here, but I think you’re right. There’s ——

Siegel: It’s him. It’s what he wants. And he’s going to leave a party, at some point, that inherits this as a centerpiece of tax policy.

Dionne: Well, you know, interestingly, the coalition for tariffs used to be a working-class coalition.

Siegel: Yes!

Dionne: And the labor movement. I grew up in a town where tariffs were very popular. And the problem is, Trump has almost given tariffs a bad name, because Joe Biden had some tariffs, but they were strategic tariffs for particular purposes. And these have been so sweeping that they have ended up not delivering what he promised, which is more manufacturing jobs. But I think that Trump has begun to even blow apart what had been one of his greatest assets, which is turning the Republican Party into, significantly, a working-class party. Clearly, he won a lot of working-class whites. He had started converting a lot of working-class Latinos, and he even got a small share of working-class Black votes. And now, he has delivered almost nothing for them. I’m struck by this move that looks like a cut in the Medicare drug benefit. I cannot fathom ——

Bouie: I saw this headline that Trump wants to impose 100 percent tariffs on generic drugs, which, as I say it out loud, is the craziest thing I’ve ever heard. And my first thought was, does he know who his voters are? Does he know who voted for him and his party? You’re telling me, in an election year, you’re going to raise drug prices on working-class seniors?

Siegel: Known as people who vote.

Bouie: Yeah. All of them vote, right? Yeah.

Dionne: And you’re seeing that, I think, in all of this polling. One of the most striking things is how noncollege-educated voters, who were part of his base, are actually fleeing. There’s a drop of 25 points or more. Without the working class, I don’t know what the Trump movement looks like. Now, a lot of those folks don’t like and don’t trust the Democrats, and that is going to be an enormous task for Democrats. And it’s going to be very interesting this year to see which of these Democrats who win have managed to recreate some of the Democratic Party’s appeal to the working class, which used to be the base of the Democratic Party. Is that over, or do they have a chance to start putting that back together? Because Trump seems to have abandoned them, and he doesn’t win any support when he says affordability is a made-up thing. That’s not how these voters feel.

Bouie: Yeah. I want to really underscore the extent to which this isn’t just standard-issue political malpractice. In the wake of 2024, I think there was this sense that that election was some kind of MAGA cultural victory as well as a political victory. But I think, at the time — and clearly looking back — what that election was, it was a narrow majority of voters saying: “This guy will lower prices. This guy will reduce inflation.” That’s what he was elected to do. And the extent to which he not only has not done that, but has made it worse — like, has sent things in the opposite direction, I would say — is the proximate cause for the total deterioration of his political support. I have the same question as you, E.J. I don’t know how Democrats begin to reconstitute their support with working-class voters, or at least begin to get their support with working-class whites, up from 30 percent to somewhere closer to 40 percent.

Dionne: That’s exactly the key, and especially in the swing states. If you look at the Obama and Hillary Clinton elections, 2012 to 2016, there was a drop in states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania from the low 40s among white noncollege-educated voters to the mid-30s. They don’t need to win the whole group.

Bouie: They haven’t since.

Dionne: They haven’t for a long time.

Bouie: For a long time.

Dionne: Especially because the Southern white voting is largely racially polarized. But in those states, they need that, and Biden bumped it up just a little bit. But they really need to find a way to get back to those Obama levels. Ironically, for everything that’s said about him and politics, he spent a lot of time, Obama, on the white working class, white noncollege-educated vote and got it to the levels he needed.

Siegel: And the challenges facing the Republicans?

Dionne: Well, I think, No. 1: How to deal with two of their issues going south. One is prices. The other is immigration. Who knew that the president would lose support on immigration? Because, I think, that was the other key to 2024, which is to bring order to the southern border, and instead, he launched this massive campaign that went after so many people, including, by the way, people who were here legally, people who were citizens. There were killings involved. Nobody in the country wanted this. These are two big issues they have got to deal with. Go ahead, Jamelle.

Bouie: I just want to say that I totally saw this coming. I want to claim that I was very much on the. … Given what he is saying — mass deportations, we’re going to remove 20 million people — and given the reality that there’s about 11 to 12 million undocumented immigrants, that very few of them are the kind of criminals that Trump is describing. Any attempt to do mass deportations will inevitably involve deporting people who are here lawfully, people who are just working, living their lives, doing their jobs. And that the kind of militarization, expansion of ICE and Customs and Border Protection that he was calling for, was likely going to result in some pretty ugly stuff — I just want to say that, in 2024, I was like, “Yeah, that’s going to happen.”

And I think you’re right, that voters who do not have a particularly coherent view of immigration or the immigration system — I think that the typical voter probably thinks the immigration system is: You show up, there’s a line, you get in, and then you wait, and then once you’ve waited long enough, you can get some sort of legal status or citizenship. And the anger is that, “Oh, all these people are trying to skip the line.” And so, when Trump says that he’s going to bring order, I think what voters hear is that he’s going to make the line work better.

But in reality, there is no line. Our immigration system is nonsensical, and the number of people in the United States who are the kinds of folks that I think voters think, “Oh, you have to remove, dangerous criminals,” is low. And so, voters then heard a vision of immigration policy that was not going to be delivered, and then they immediately saw what was being delivered, and the reaction was, “Oh, I don’t like that.” And so, the reversal, Trump’s reversal in immigration, which I’ll note began last March — not March 2026, but March 2025 — with the controversy over Kilmar Abrego Garcia, that’s when you begin to see the inversion happen. And I think it’s 100 percent because that’s when the public began to understand that what they’re getting is not what they thought they were getting.

Dionne: Right. And I think the “I’m going to bring order to the southern border,” that’s popular. As soon as you say the words “mass deportation,” as you suggested, it inevitably leads to something like this. It doesn’t have to be this bad, but close to this bad. I think on your question about the Republican Party rebuilding, again, perhaps everything I have said is going to be wrong, and this Trump coalition is going to hold together better than I think. I just don’t see it without Trump. If you don’t have Trump, and you don’t have that same appeal to white working-class voters, or working-class voters more generally, the Republican Party is going to have to go back and try to win suburban moderates and moderate conservatives.

Because if you’re building the alternative party, I don’t see who else is out there who is likely to vote for them, but that would require a real revolution from what the Republican Party is now. It’s a party that George H.W. Bush would recognize, but that was a long time ago.

Bouie: The erosion Republicans have suffered among suburban voters — it’s stark and dramatic. You know, Virginia is now a state where a liberal Democrat can win by 15 points in an election, and that is 100 percent the complete collapse of the Republican Party in the kinds of suburbs that it used to handily win. I’m ——

Siegel: But as a resident of one of those suburbs, it’s still a state where a Terry McAuliffe could lose ——

Bouie: True.

Siegel: Statewide, it’s not a lock for Democrats.

Bouie: But you note that Glenn Youngkin was very much running, at least his campaign was, like, “I am the kind of Republican you recognize.”

Siegel: That’s right.

Bouie: Like, “I’m the kind of guy, you know; I work for a big corporate firm.”

Dionne: Even the way he dressed.

Siegel: “I wear a fleece."

Bouie: “I have a fleece. I’m not scary. You know that my actual social views are normal, right?” — that’s the whole vibe he’s going for. And I figure JD Vance is smart enough to see what the numbers are. I would expect that he would try to remake himself, once again, in this kind of way. But in the absence of that kind of effort, like E.J. said, it’s hard to see how the Republican Party begins to build back.

Siegel: I’ll just say that I can’t get rid of the thought — that MAGA and Trump are basically royalist and the successor in a royalist system would be a younger Trump and that’s over. Anyway, on that note, let’s move on to our weekly feature, when we talk about joy and the joyful experiences we’ve had since last we met. Jamelle?

Bouie: So I live right down the street from what was an old public housing project, built in the 1960s, and it’s not in great shape. Over the past year, the city where I live — Charlottesville, Va. — has been aggressively rehabbing and revamping and rebuilding that housing.

And so, basically beginning last summer, they tore down a lot of units. Prior to that, they built some new units for people who live there to be in, while they were doing this big rehab. And in basically a year, they’ve almost finished this project, and it’s remarkable to watch. Beautiful new homes that are going to be for public housing residents. Additional new units to further increase capacity, and this has been done in conjunction with public housing residents, so it’s been a collaborative effort between the city and residents. And they’re doing this work across all the public housing units. And at a time when there’s just a lot of cynicism about the government’s ability to just do anything — and I’m not going to raise up Charlottesville as like the most efficient government in the world — but it’s been really cool to see this come to fruition, and to see government producing things for people in a way that improves their lives.

Siegel: That is joyous. E.J.?

Dionne: Leave it to Jamelle to underscore how self-oriented and not socially oriented my joy is this month, because I wanted to talk about pure, entirely predictable, but deeply felt summer joy that last month has been about. It’s about Mary, my wife, and me kayaking on a quiet pond, beach walking and beach reading; and it’s like baseball, where I finally have a Red Sox team that you can actually root for, and they might win, and the great sound of the game on the radio. It’s a wonderful time of year, and so, I will try to sort of up the game of my joy by saying Shakespeare got it right when he said, “Shall I compare thee to a summer’s day?”

Siegel: Well, very good. My sources of joy were, first of all, a lot of time with family, with my daughters and grandchildren in New York, where we spent some time this summer. And also a surprise when we came home: My wife and I went to see “The Odyssey,” or “Odyssey,” I guess it is. And I was really very much taken by Christopher Nolan and Matt Damon’s take on “The Odyssey,” and found myself far more entertained and engrossed than I thought I would be. I recommend it heartily, if you haven’t seen it yet.

Bouie: I’m kind of curious to see if there’s going to be any uptick in classics majors after this, given its success.

Siegel: Jamelle Bouie, thanks a lot for doing this. And E.J., thank you, of course.

Dionne: Thank you.

Illustration by Brian McMullen/The New York Times; source photographs by Mario Tama and Dingena Mol/Getty

Thoughts? Email us at theopinions@nytimes.com.

This episode of “The Opinions” was produced by Jillian Weinberger. It was edited by Kaari Pitkin. Mixing by Efim Shapiro. Video editing by Julian Hackney and Reshma Kirpalani. The postproduction manager is Mike Puretz. Original music by Carole Sabouraud. Fact-checking by Annika Robbins and Mary Marge Locker. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta and Kristina Samulewski. The director of Opinion Video is Jonah M. Kessel. The deputy director of Opinion Shows is Alison Bruzek. The director of Opinion Shows is Annie-Rose Strasser.

The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And here’s our email: letters@nytimes.com.

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Jamelle Bouie became a New York Times Opinion columnist in 2019. Before that he was the chief political correspondent for Slate magazine. He is based in Charlottesville, Va."

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Trump Administration Plans to Upend Head Start by Deregulating It - The New York Times

Trump Administration Plans to Upend Head Start by Deregulating It

"The White House tried but failed to block funding for preschool for poor children. Instead, it will seek to strip away standards on health, literacy — and brushing teeth.

A teacher helping three students in a classroom read and write. She’s wearing a blue collar shirt and black pants. The students are wearing a pink sweater, an orange collar shirt and a blue shirt.
A teacher at a Head Start program run by Easterseals South Florida instructing students on reading and writing. Head Start has served over 30 million children since it was created.Rebecca Blackwell/Associated Press

The Trump administration is preparing a major rollback of federal requirements for Head Start, a change that supporters of the child care program fear could gut its longstanding antipoverty mission.

The proposed changes would remove most of Head Start’s 133 pages of requirements for math and literacy curriculums, class sizes, medical screenings, home visits and even a requirement that children brush their teeth after meals, according to three people with knowledge of the plan who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe internal deliberations.

Administration officials say the changes will streamline a heavily regulated program while giving states and cities more control over how it is run.

But Head Start advocates say that erasing regulations serves as a backdoor way to dismantle a program the administration does not like. The White House last year called Head Start “radical” and tried but failed to freeze spending on it.

While Head Start facilities will still be required to comply with state rules, there are almost no comparable state-level programs with similar requirements. And even though the federal rules would not prohibit centers from providing traditional antipoverty services, some fear that the lack of any requirements means that many are likely to stop doing so.

The changes, previously reported by The Nation, are expected to be formally introduced as early as next week and could be finalized by year’s end.

They would remake a program that has served over 30 million children since it was created in 1965 as part of President Lyndon B. Johnson’s War on Poverty. Head Start was intended to be a federally funded and regulated early education and antipoverty program, with hundreds of standards to support that mission, making it far more comprehensive than any other child care programs.

A White House official, who declined to be identified, wrote in an email that the administration is supporting Head Start by keeping its federal funding in place and supporting efforts the official said would reduce administrative burdens.

A spokesman for the Health and Human Services Department’s Administration for Children and Families, which oversees Head Start and drafted the changes, did not respond to a request for comment.

But Ruth Friedman, a child care policy expert who worked as a congressional aide to create a bipartisan 2007 law updating Head Start, called the proposed changes a “massive gutting” of the program.

“Eliminating Head Start’s performance standards guts the science-backed standards that ensure our youngest learners get what they need to arrive at kindergarten ready to succeed,” she said.

The program, which today serves about 700,000 children under 6, has for decades attracted bipartisan support. President Ronald Reagan expanded Head Start’s budget to over $1 billion, and President George W. Bush signed a bipartisan law to update and modernize the program. Even President Trump in his first term increased the program’s budget by $900 million.

That has now changed dramatically.

Project 2025, the policy blueprint by the conservative Heritage Foundation, called for the elimination of Head Start. “The program should function to protect and educate minors,” the document says. “Sadly, it has done exactly the opposite.”

A draft White House budget document reviewed by The New York Times last year proposed zeroing out spending on Head Start, saying that doing so would help end the “radical indoctrination of our children.”

The document said the program is “riddled with social-emotional learning” and diversity, equity and inclusion programming, and gives preference to undocumented immigrants. It singled out the use of a “Sesame Street” webinar on racial justice, and the use of picture books for toddlers that are intended to “create an early childhood setting that is welcoming” for families of different sexual orientations.

The White House’s final budget plan kept the money in.

But at the same time the White House also withheld some Head Start spending that Congress had already appropriated. A congressional watchdog found that it had done so illegally, and the money was eventually released.

Then during last year’s government shutdown, the White House stopped Head Start funding, forcing programs in 17 states to temporarily close.

But some Republican lawmakers — notably Senators Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia, Susan Collins of Maine and Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi — have remained firm in their support of the program. For now, its annual $12 billion budget remains in place.

So proponents of upending the program tried a new approach. In June, the Heritage Foundation issued a report calling on the administration to “sunset Head Start and deregulate the program until officials end it.”

“Head Start is the most heavily regulated of the child care programs,” said Jonathan Butcher, an author of the report, “but it was not being successful with basic things.”

Mr. Butcher pointed to a 2022 report by the health department’s inspector general that found that one in four Head Start grant recipients had incidents of child abuse, lack of supervision or unauthorized release of children. The report called on the Administration for Children and Families to increase its oversight of the program.

Alex Adams, the head of the Administration for Children and Families, has sought to cut regulations on all child care programs, saying that federal child care rules should “fit on an index card in my back pocket.” In spring, The Times reported that he was starting an overhaul of Head Start, though he has expressed support for the program.

During his Senate confirmation hearing last year, Mr. Adams noted that his wife’s grandmother ran a Head Start program in Blackfoot, Idaho, in the late 1960s. He said that Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. “wants to make Head Start better and brighter by the end of this term and I share that commitment.”

Among the most significant of the proposed new changes expected to be released next week is the removal of federal limits on Head Start class sizes. Instead, they will now align with a patchwork of state standards.

For example, under current Head Start rules, one teacher is required to supervise four 2-year-olds. But in Idaho, one teacher can supervise nine 2-year-olds. In Ohio, the rule is one teacher per eight 2-year-olds.

Mr. Adams and other conservatives have promoted the change as a way to give more children access to the program, although many early education policy experts say that the larger class sizes will relax standards of care.

The changes would also delete requirements that Head Start employees perform vision and hearing screenings on children, and ensure that children receive medical and dental checkups. That could mean helping parents schedule appointments, fill out Medicaid forms and arrange transportation.

The proposed changes would also remove requirements that staff members visit families at home to help navigate problems like shut-off utilities.

They would eliminate teaching standards for math, literacy, and social and emotional development — such as self-regulating and responding to emotions, making friends and interacting appropriately with adults.

Some requirements providing access for children with disabilities would go away, as well.

And the changes would erase requirements for program duration. Typically, Head Start programs run six hours a day, but could instead run for just three hours a day.

The administration is also adding some new rules, according to the people familiar with the plan: one requiring that student instruction take place only in English, and another requiring at least 30 minutes of physical activity per day.

Leslie Andrews, who has worked as a Head Start teacher in Redmond, Wash., for 25 years, said she worries especially about deleting the requirements to help children get access to health and dental care.

“I think at first some experienced teachers might continue to help connect kids to doctors and dentists, but over time that will fade,” she said. “It won’t be done.”

“No child is going to do well in school if they don’t have this basic care,” she said, adding, “Removing the tooth-brushing requirement — just why?”

Leah Bolden, a mother in Farmingdale, Maine, said that when her 3-year-old son began Head Start last year, the staff noticed he might have A.D.H.D. and arranged for him to see a developmental psychologist.

“The staff was involved in every meeting,” she said. Without the current standards, that might have never happened, she said.

Mr. Butcher, who wrote the Heritage Foundation report, said deleting standards does not forbid teachers to follow them — it just means they don’t have to.

“If you remove a requirement that asks kids to brush their teeth,” he said, “that doesn’t mean you can’t still do it.”

Coral Davenport covers energy and environment policy, with a focus on climate change, for The Times."

Trump Administration Plans to Upend Head Start by Deregulating It - The New York Times