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Friday, August 14, 2026

Democrats Pull Back From the Edge of Disaster. Again.

Democrats Pull Back From the Edge of Disaster. Again.

A close-up image of the stars on an American flag.
Thalassa Raasch for The New York Times

By E.J. Dionne Jr.

"Mr. Dionne is a contributing Opinion writer.

My candidate for the most unexpected but also most important word of this summer of Democratic dissonance comes from an unlikely source.

When a New York Times reporter asked Abdul El-Sayed, the Democrats’ left-wing Senate nominee in Michigan, to describe Chuck Schumer, the Senate minority leader, in one or two words, he said “pragmatic.” This is the same Dr. El-Sayed who had said earlier this summer, “If you’re Chuck Schumer, I’m pretty damn dangerous.”

It seems that two can work the pragmatic side of the street. For Democrats who hope for a truce in the factional warfare that has engulfed the party since the June victories of democratic socialists in primaries in New York and Colorado, Dr. El-Sayed’s single conciliatory word had the ring of high poetry.

Democratic primary voters in Wisconsin proved themselves to be pragmatic, too. On Tuesday David Crowley, the moderate Milwaukee County executive supported by the outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, narrowly defeated Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist who had enjoyed a large polling lead. Mr. Crowley profited from fears of the state’s Democratic rank-and-file that Ms. Hong would allow Republicans back into the governor’s mansion — worries aggravated by Ms. Hong’s past social media activity. The grabber: In 2020, she said that Thanksgiving should be canceled and called it a “colonizer holiday.”

In Minnesota’s Democratic primary, the progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan comfortably defeated the moderate Representative Angie Craig. Like Dr. El-Sayed, Ms. Flanagan ran as a foe of corporate power — she cast the choice as “the many versus the money.” But she also had a long history with the state’s Democratic voters and enjoyed the support of Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren (both of whom did not endorse Ms. Hong) as well as Tina Smith, the senator she is bidding to replace.

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The ideologically split Midwest verdict may have the salutary effect of pushing back against the sometimes hysterical (and also inaccurate) commentary about a Democratic electorate in the thrall of a Bastille Day showdown. The shrewdest politicians on both sides of the left-versus-center (or, if you prefer, insurgent-versus-establishment) barricades understand that the only hope Republicans have of avoiding a devastating defeat this fall is to keep voters from focusing on President Trump and their complicity in his deeply unpopular failures. They want to make it instead about Democratic “radicalism” and — ah, that hallowed shibboleth — “disarray.”

But both sides of the fight will have to internalize this danger. In his excellent collection of essays “What Caused the Civil War?” the historian Edward L. Ayers summarizes a central lesson from the theologian Reinhold Niebuhr: “All people,” Mr. Ayers writes, “are capable of both self-awareness and self-deception.” Factionalism encourages the latter and makes it hard for foes to concede even the valid parts of their rivals’ story lines.

For starters, the left and the center have to harmonize their differences in how they think about Mr. Trump. As the political writer Ron Brownstein observed recently, the left typically argues that while Mr. Trump is dangerous, he is more symptom than cause of the country’s problems. More centrist Democrats tend to insist that the Trump catastrophe is unique in our history and the crisis the country faces is primarily of Mr. Trump’s making.

The answer is obvious: Mr. Trump is indeed a symptom of something bigger, but he is also singularly corrupt, incompetent and dangerous to democracy.

The left is correct that Democrats need to offer voters far more than an end to Trumpism and a restoration of the earlier status quo. The campaigns of both Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Kamala Harris in 2024 counted too much on voters recognizing Mr. Trump’s awfulness and did not spend enough time addressing economic discontent. Whatever the centrists think of Dr. El-Sayed, his campaign mantra — “Money out of politics. Money in your pocket.” — brilliantly married disaffection from the political system with voters’ unhappiness over their financial circumstances. Ms. Flanagan’s campaign did the same.

But there can be no getting away from the fact that winning in 2026 depends above all on mobilizing the roughly 60 percent of Americans who are fed up with Mr. Trump. The fury among Democrats that their leaders failed twice to keep him out of the White House is understandable. But inwardly directed rage won’t drive Mr. Trump’s allies from office. It’s revealing that Wisconsin Democrats, who understood the costs of an eight-year Republican trifecta of power before Mr. Evers’s 2018 victory, opted for safety over adventure.

The other central difference between the center and the left is their theories of who wins elections. The left is adamant that progressive insurgents can win closely fought contests; the center thinks only moderates can.

Centrists are right that more moderate candidates tend to perform better in swing states and districts (although some political scientists have noticed a decline in the impact of ideology). But the left is right that to win, Democrats need a more populist approach rooted in progressive economics. Most moderate Democrats have heard the call. The Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek prevailed in the Democratic primary against a candidate to his left, but he is running on what he calls “a prairie populist’s platform.”

Mr. Turek’s program embraces, among other things, “a federal ban on price gouging on food,” barring “Wall Street private equity firms from purchasing single-family homes and farmland,” promising to “take on Big Pharma,” and “cracking down on unfair wages” and monopolies. Opposing corporate power, unfair taxes and concentrated wealth is now mainstream.

The left, in turn, must confront the reality that many of its candidates have struggled to gain traction with the very working class for which they claim to speak. In Michigan, Dr. El-Sayed overwhelmed his opponent Representative Haley Stevens in university towns and among younger voters and highly educated liberals, while Ms. Stevens carried the Black vote in Detroit and performed well among older voters and in working-class communities.

Since championing workers goes to the moral and intellectual heart of the left’s project, well-educated lefties bridle at charges of elitism. But the voting patterns are what they are, and the most electorally successful politicians on the left have privileged egalitarian economic policies over cultural questions.

The two wings of the party actually agree on the need to focus on pocketbook issues while finding more politically sustainable ways of keeping faith with their commitments to marginalized groups.

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York caused a stir on Sunday when she quoted a fellow politician who declared, “Woke 1 was crazy.” Often lost in the accounts is what she said next: That the Woke 1 discussions “were quite fruitful.” Her point was that the protests of 2020 unleashed a necessary reckoning with injustice, but that the “rhetoric in that time is not rhetoric that we would use today.” Progressives, she said, also want to bring crime down.

Call it, well, pragmatism, or just learning lessons the hard way. To use a phrase Ms. Ocasio-Cortez invoked, the success of a “big tent” party depends on welcoming people inside, not on finding ways of driving out everyone who falls short of one faction’s idea of perfection. Midwest Democrats seem to get that.

E.J. Dionne Jr., a Times contributing Opinion writer, is the author of “Why Americans Hate Politics,” “Our Divided Political Heart,” “Why the Right Went Wrong” and, most recently, “100% Democracy,” with Miles Rapoport.

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Opinion | Is Ocasio-Cortez Ready for the Glass Cliff? - The New York Times

Opinion | Is Ocasio-Cortez Ready for the Glass Cliff?

Is Ocasio-Cortez Ready for the Glass Cliff?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking from a stage. The foreground of the image is a blurry red.
Illustration by The New York Times; photograph by Gordon Welters for The New York Times

Oh, she’s running.

"I’ve been watching the signs that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may be considering a bid for president for over a year. She spoke about foreign policy at the Munich Security Conference in February. A few months later, she brandished her organizer street cred with a visit to a rural Georgia community fighting a data center. She is among the astonishingly few big-name Democrats embracing data center resistance, a rare point of bipartisan agreement in a divided electorate.

This week she all but soft launched the presidential bid so many of us have been expecting, with a video series about freezing her eggs. The rollout — personal, confessional and intimate — had all the social media savvy that made her a political star. It also gets ahead of the inevitable questions about how, or if, she will have children. In short, Ocasio-Cortez has crafted a political message in which the form and content suggest that she will run as a woman but unlike how every woman before her was forced to run.

That she is a viable potential presidential candidate is no small feat for any woman, much less a young, attractive woman without a political dynasty. Were she to formally declare a presidential bid, she would be one of the youngest and most progressive people to do it. She can run. But can she win?

To say women haven’t had an easy path to presidential power would be an understatement.

Hillary Clinton was both too unfathomable (a first lady who wanted more) and too well known (saddled with her husband’s scandals and positions). Kamala Harris was, alternately, too novel (a mixed-race Black woman) and too much like the same old (a capitalist hawk). They each were condemned as too uncharismatic to overcome a culture that is supremely suspicious of women who want, pursue and hold power. The ambition that brought them within reach of the presidency was a trap that ensured they couldn’t win it.

That is the gist of years of women’s political ambitions — a woman who wants the top job must be assertive but not aggressive, nurturing but not weak. She has to be the epitome of a mother and the epitome of a boss. It is an impossible needle to thread, and any woman who contorts herself to do so comes off as disingenuous at best and a liar at worst. This likability trap has hindered every qualified woman who has run for president.

But these are different times. Ocasio-Cortez is a different woman, and Americans love to turn to women when the house is burning down. Social scientists call it the glass cliff — the phenomenon in which women are often recruited to lead failing companies. President Trump’s businessman brand of governance has many Americans feeling this nation is failing. I suppose the dumpster fire of climate denialism, political corruption and general scamminess of, well, everything would be dire enough circumstances to make a female president possible.

In particular, Democrats — whom you might expect to be wary of placing another female candidate before the American public — are facing a political disaster of their own making. Americans are primed for an anti-incumbent electoral wave. They want an alternative to Trump’s MAGA-dominated Republican Party, but a lot of them indicate they would have to hold their nose to vote for mainstream Democrats. This “Is the enemy of my enemy really my friend?” game between the base and the party leadership has created an opening for progressive candidates in state races. Despite this, a lot of Democrats are faithful to conventional political wisdom that they cannot win the White House by running from the left.

Ocasio-Cortez is made for this moment. It’s not because she has tempered her progressiveness (as some democratic socialists worry). It’s because she has the greatest chance of sidestepping the likability trap that has foiled so many female presidential candidates who came before her. Whether she wins or loses, if she runs as she governs, an Ocasio-Cortez campaign could model a new way for women to lead.

Research on female candidates suggests that women who emphasize feminine traits are penalized while women who talk about female issues are advantaged. Ocasio-Cortez does both. She has shown off her favorite red lippie on Instagram and has live-streamed how government works for millions of people. There have been the usual consequences. Conservatives revile her, and even men who share her politics discount her gravitas. Too young. Too pretty. Too ambitious.

But instead of changing to accommodate these men’s discomfort — a quickie political marriage or a boxy power suit comes to mind — the self-described “girl from the Bronx” took it on like, well, a girl from the Bronx, with unabashed confidence in her ability to persist without permission. In doing so, she has fashioned female political power in a way that does not contort itself for male comfort.

Many Americans expect the president to be a father for the nation. A woman in the White House is supposed to be his wife and the mother to his children, a political appendage, as opposed to a person who wields power in her own right. One reason Clinton’s narrative never gelled with a lot of Americans is that she intended to amass power independent of her role as first lady. Her role in leading health care reform was considered by many to be too significant a task for a first lady, an unelected wife and mother. Not even her years as secretary of state could upend the idea that she somehow usurped power meant for men.

Harris’s campaign was a test of what makes a powerful woman legible while a man, who seemingly has no political ambitions of his own, stands behind her. However, she does not have biological children, and even though she talked often about her stepchildren calling her Momala, the idea of seeing her as the nation’s first makeshift mother never fit. Her blended family was not rare; many American families are now some form of nontraditional, meaning stepparents are a normal part of American life. But the presidential family is not supposed to be normal. It is supposed to be aspirational, a secular symbol of many Americans’ religious belief that ours is a nation uniquely blessed by God to prosper and reproduce.

Harris had the additional challenge of being a woman of color. People might have hated Clinton for insisting she wasn’t a stand-by-your-man little lady. But our culture has a legacy of hatred for women of color and our family formations. It isn’t said often enough, but a right-wing political vision that pairs a resurgent natalist movement with great-replacement theory is one that encourages white women to marry young and multiply in a way it does not for Black or brown women. There is no edict for women of color to reproduce for this nation because a large part of this nation would rather the nation not exist at all than be majority-minority.

This is why Ocasio-Cortez’s choice to lead her campaign intentions with a very public discussion of reproductive choices is so important. She is performing the preservation of her status as a mother for the public, creating the possibility that she would be a mother for the nation, even if she is not yet a mother. However, she also recognizes that whatever marriage or motherhood choices she makes, a New York Latina cannot embody the aspirational presidential family. Nothing she does will satisfy the haters, so instead, she’s charting a new path that presents new political possibilities. As is often the case, the best choice for a woman of color creates better choices for all women.

The American right has conducted a national assault on abortion care, birth control access and in vitro fertilization since the fall of Roe v. Wade. These are attacks on women’s enfranchisement and ability to work. No woman who has to consider which states allow her to control her reproductive decisions without her or her doctor going to prison is truly free.

In the face of this, Ocasio-Cortez’s decision to talk publicly about freezing her eggs is the kind of leadership women are hungry for. She is demonstrating that planning for a family while building the career she wants is still a compromise. She is implying that the best we can do right now is to plan for the worst while we work toward the best. She is also saying that reproductive health is a choice that a woman can make, on her own, for her own reasons, without apology or censure. That’s a message very different from the ones about family, gender and power that have bedeviled women’s political campaigns.

Ocasio-Cortez will have other, more workaday political challenges to overcome. Despite what the right-wing media pundits said, she didn’t totally bomb in Munich. But, her speech this year at Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta was stilted and uncomfortable. It’s easier to learn geopolitics than it is to become fluent in Black Southern rhetoric. Black voters are pragmatic. But she will have to reconcile progressive policies for cultures outside New York City to win. A Southern running mate who matches her vibe and brings that fluency, like Georgia’s Jon Ossoff, would be a bold solution. Regardless, she will need to figure out how to speak to an electorate beyond her own.

Maybe we aren’t ready to finally join the long list of countries that have elected a woman to lead them. But the best time to issue the test is when the opposition grows fat and lazy with winning. That’s where the MAGA movement is now. It has control of both chambers of Congress, a favorable Supreme Court and almost total presidential legal immunity. After 2004, when the so-called compassionate conservatives felt this inevitable, Barack Obama made history by becoming a resounding countervailing force.

As we learned in 2008, when history says it’s your time, it’s your time.

Tressie McMillan Cottom (@tressiemcphd) became a New York Times Opinion columnist in 2022. She is a professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Information and Library Science, the author of “Thick: And Other Essays” and a 2020 MacArthur fellow. @tressiemcphd"

Opinion | Is Ocasio-Cortez Ready for the Glass Cliff? - The New York Times

Thursday, August 13, 2026

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Homeland Security Paid $464 Million for Airplanes. Then It Parked Them.

 

Homeland Security Paid $464 Million for Airplanes. Then It Parked Them.

 Summary

Homeland Security spent $464 million via a no-bid contract for 10 used planes from Daedalus Aviation Corporation, citing urgency for deportations. The fleet has largely sat idle; three jets were offered to other agencies, and seven Boeing 737s remain parked.

The agency used a no-bid contract to buy 10 used jets, saying they were urgently needed for deportation flights. But the fleet has largely sat idle for months.

A Boeing 737 passenger jet purchased by the Department of Homeland Security parked last month at Chennault International Airport in Lake Charles, La.Kathleen Flynn for The New York Times

Starting last fall, the Department of Homeland Security spent $464 million on a no-bid contract to buy 10 used airplanes from a firm in Northern Virginia.

That was an enormous price tag, but the department said it had no time to consider other offers. The planes were needed urgently for deportation flights.

But since then, the department has barely used this new fleet — for deportations, or anything else.

Three of the aircraft are luxury business jets. Just months after acquiring them, the department sought to loan or lease two to other agencies, including one for the use of F.B.I. director Kash Patel, according to a letter to the department sent Wednesday by top Democrats on the Senate Appropriations Committee.

The other seven are older Boeing 737 passenger jets, which the government has left parked at an airport in Lake Charles, La., for months at a time. An internal government document, obtained by The New York Times, said the agency did not have the staff necessary to operate them.

The acquisitions were part of a surge of rushed contracts handed out recently by the Homeland Security Department, which has repeatedly used the need for “urgency” to bypass regular contracting procedures. The idled planes highlight the risks of that approach. The agency rushed headlong to spend nearly half a billion dollars, only to end up with planes it did not fly.

The contract also illuminated a broader trend within the second Trump administration: no-bid contracts awarded to people with connections to Mr. Trump or his cabinet secretaries. The company that received this contract, Daedalus Aviation Corporation, is led by a chairman who had donated to a political committee supporting the previous Homeland Security Secretary, Kristi Noem.

Flight records show that seven of the planes purchased by the Department of Homeland Security have largely sat for months at a small airport in Lake Charles, La.Kathleen Flynn for The New York Times

The department’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency has long outsourced its deportation flights by chartering planes from private companies. It also uses military and Coast Guard aircraft. Because of that, former immigration officials said there seemed to be little need for the department to take on the expense of buying and maintaining a significant number of its own aircraft.

“If you asked me to write a list of the things ICE needed to increase the number of deportations, buying its own fleet of airplanes would absolutely not make the top ten,” said John Sandweg, a former acting director of ICE during the Obama administration.

In a written statement, the Homeland Security Department sought to shift responsibility for the contract to Ms. Noem. President Trump fired her in March, and appointed Markwayne Mullin, a Republican Senator from Oklahoma, as secretary.

“The contract for Daedalus was made and approved by department leadership before Secretary Mullin was sworn in,” the department said in a statement. The agency said it “reserves the right to adjust course in an environment with evolving requirements and demands.”

A spokeswoman for Ms. Noem sought to place the responsibility on Mr. Mullin instead, saying the purchase was “finalized” under his leadership. 

Contracting records show that the size of the contract increased by $303 million on the day that Mr. Mullin was sworn in as secretary.

The agency said that the idle 737 passenger jets had been undergoing maintenance checks, and that there were plans for two of them to begin deportation flights later this month.

The situation with the planes was reminiscent of the department’s about-face on a plan to acquire warehouses to hold detainees. The department spent heavily on those when Ms. Noem was secretary, but reversed itself just months later under Mr. Mullin. The department is now giving away or selling seven warehouses that it bought for more than $700 million.

A letter sent to the department Wednesday by Democratic senators Patty Murray of Washington and Christopher Murphy of Connecticut, who sit on the Senate Appropriations Committee, said Homeland Security officials had already conceded to the committee that most of the planes would not be used for deportations.

“The American people deserve a full accounting of this gross misuse of their tax dollars,” the letter, which was reviewed by The Times, said.

The senators asked for details about the purchase price of each plane and how they would be used.

Federal law generally requires government agencies to seek competing bids before awarding a contract, to ensure taxpayers get the best deal. But the department sidestepped that requirement for the planes contract, by invoking an exemption for cases of “unusual and compelling urgency.”

That exemption can be used only when delaying the contract would result in “serious injury, financial or other,” to the government. Historically, it has been used during natural disasters, war and the coronavirus pandemic.

The department declined to answer questions about what serious injury it was trying to prevent. Contracting regulations require agencies to publish the rationales for no-bid contracts, but the department refused to release this one, saying it “would compromise national security or create other security risks.”

The department has invoked the urgency exemption to justify more than $29 billion in spending across about 500 contracts awarded during Mr. Trump’s second term, according to an analysis of federal data by The Times. Much of that total came from border wall spending. Urgency claims were also used to justify projects like the $220 million in media contracts awarded to firms tied to Ms. Noem and her allies, scrutiny over which contributed to her ouster.

The exemption accounts for nearly two-thirds of the $34 billion that the department has spent on contracts signed in 2026. That’s up sharply from past years. In 2025, the figure was about one-quarter. In 2024, it was less than 1 percent.

Urgent Business

Department of Homeland Security spending on contracts, by year signed

No other major agency has used the exemption for urgency as frequently as Homeland Security, even in an administration that has turned to no-bid contracts repeatedly — for event planningfountain repair and the troubled makeover of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool.

Lorna Tedder, a retired contracting expert who spent more than three decades at the Defense Department, said that, “Some things truly are urgent — people are going to die if you don’t do this.” But if agencies claim the exemption all the time, “it will eventually be abused.”

The contract for the planes was first awarded in late November. At the time, the government was already paying other contractors hundreds of millions to operate a network of charter flights called “ICE Air.”

The immigration agency has chartered about 25,800 flights in Mr. Trump’s second term, shuttling immigrants between detention centers domestically and deporting them abroad, mainly to Latin America and the Caribbean, according to the ICE Flight Monitor tracking project at Human Rights First, a nonprofit advocacy group. The department sometimes has 25 or more planes in the air in a day, according to the nonprofit’s tracking.

But at the time, the Homeland Security Department said it still needed its own planes.

Last fall, Tricia McLaughlin, a department spokeswoman, told The Washington Post that purchasing the planes would allow “ICE to operate more effectively, including by using more efficient flight patterns.” Ms. McLaughlin has since left the agency. The department did not respond directly to a question asking about her comments.

Daedalus, the Arlington, Va.-based company the government hired to find the planes, had not previously held a federal contract. However, a company spokesman said it had worked as a subcontractor to other companies evacuating Afghans who had done work for the U.S. government.

Daedalus’s chairman is William Walters, a doctor who until 2021 led a State Department office that evacuated Americans from outbreaks of Ebola, Covid-19 and other crises. In 2024, after leaving government, Mr. Walters donated $10,000 to a political committee connected to Ms. Noem, then the governor of South Dakota.

Last year, with Ms. Noem in charge, the agency gave a separate company run by Mr. Walters a contract worth nearly $700 million to encourage immigrants to leave the U.S. voluntarily.

A Daedalus spokesman said that Mr. Walters was unaware that the political committee was tied to Ms. Noem.

Daedalus declined to say how much each of the 10 planes had cost, or what its profit margin was for acting, essentially, as a broker. It provided a written statement that it was proud to provide “the best value to the American taxpayer.”

One of the planes is a Boeing 737 luxury jet, now painted in the color scheme of Mr. Trump’s new Air Force One. Two others are smaller Gulfstream business jets, each seating about 14 people.

A Boeing 737 luxury jet, seen in January in Bermuda, and a Gulfstream business jet, seen in 2021 in Hamburg, Germany, are two of the new planes that the Department of Homeland Security purchased for the mission of deporting immigrants.Photographs by Toby Lunn and Niclas Rebbelmund

Those planes flew only sporadically after the agency acquired them, according to flight records from airplanes.live, an independent flight tracking service. And the department soon moved to jettison two of them to other agencies, according to the account from Senate Democrats and the internal document reviewed by The Times.

One of the luxury jets “has already been leased to the F.B.I. for 12 months to support director Patel’s travel — despite the fact that the F.B.I. already has its own jets to support the director’s travel,” the Senate Democrats wrote.

The F.B.I. confirmed that it is using one of the Gulfstream jets, saying it was paying the Homeland Security Department significantly less than it had paid a private company to lease a similar plane and that the aircraft was being used to support a range of agency operations, in addition to Mr. Patel’s travel.

The Homeland Security Department also wanted to lend the larger Boeing luxury jet to the Pentagon, according to the senators’ letter and the internal document. But a Pentagon spokesman said no agreement had been signed.

One Gulfstream jet will remain with Homeland Security, for the use of its top leaders, according to the letter.

The other 737s seemed more suited for deportation flights. Flight records show they had been in active use by Avelo Airlines, a low-cost carrier that also flew charter flights for ICE.

But when the government bought them, it parked them.

Daedalus said that two were used briefly to evacuate Americans from the Middle East at the outbreak of the Iran War in early March.

Senate Democrats said they were told by Homeland Security staff that four of the 737s were no longer expected to fly detained immigrants. The senators said the department said it would use them to fly members of Congress on overseas trips, a job now handled by commercial carriers or military aircraft.

For the long term, the agency said it needs a contractor to provide crews and mechanics to operate its new fleet. A recent solicitation said that contract would start next summer.

Devlin Barrett and Madeleine Ngo contributed reporting. Kitty Bennettcontributed research.

David A. Fahrenthold is a Times investigative reporter writing about nonprofit organizations. He has been a reporter for two decades.

Andrea Fuller is a data journalist at The Times, using data analysis to make sense of complex topics.

Nicholas Nehamas is a Washington correspondent for The Times, focusing on the Trump administration and its efforts to transform the federal government.

Hamed Aleaziz covers the Department of Homeland Security and immigration policy for The Times.“